OpenRouter token usage in Nov 9–15, 2026
50/50 line52%Above 207T tokens
Line nearest 50/50
52%
Market median
207.615T
Biggest 24h move-5 pts
1%
24h volume
$6K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 207T tokens
52%
-47
Above 240T tokens
1%
-5
What the market expects
median 207.615TChance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · hourlyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above 240T tokensYES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 240T tokens | NO | 96¢ | $2K |
All outcomes
9| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 207T tokens | 52% | -47.0 | $234 | $217 |
| Above 215T tokens | 26% | — | $6 | $6 |
| Above 218T tokens | 21% | — | $0 | $0 |
| Above 221T tokens | 20% | — | $0 | $0 |
| Above 223T tokens | 14% | — | $0 | $0 |
| Above 225T tokens | 13% | — | $0 | $0 |
| Above 228T tokens | 12% | — | $0 | $0 |
| Above 232T tokens | 10% | +0.5 | $874 | $866 |
| Above 240T tokens | 1% | -5.0 | $5K | $4K |