OpenRouter token usage in Oct 5–11

14 outcomesSettles Oct 12, 2026 (5d)

50/50 line50%Above 166 T tokens

Line nearest 50/50

50%

Above 166 T tokens

Market median

166.167T

even odds of landing above or below

Biggest 24h move-52 pts

34%

Above 172 T tokens

24h volume

$15K

$14K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no

Above 164 T tokens 79%

Above 162 T tokens 78%

Above 166 T tokens 50%

Above 168 T tokens 44% -42

Above 172 T tokens 34% -52

Above 174 T tokens 32%

Above 170 T tokens 31%

Above 176 T tokens 17%

Above 182 T tokens 16%

Above 178 T tokens 11%

Above 180 T tokens 10%

Above 188 T tokens 8%

Above 184 T tokens 7%

Above 186 T tokens 6%

median 166.167T

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

rungs nearest 50/50 · hourly

Outcome	Odds	24h change	24h volume	Open interest
Above 164 T tokens	79%	—	$3K	$2K
Above 162 T tokens	78%	—	$3K	$2K
Above 166 T tokens	50%	—	$1K	$1K
Above 168 T tokens	44%	-42.5	$969	$1K
Above 172 T tokens	34%	-52.0	$2K	$2K
Above 174 T tokens	32%	—	$627	$627
Above 170 T tokens	31%	—	$2K	$2K
Above 176 T tokens	17%	—	$1K	$1K
Above 182 T tokens	16%	—	$269	$269
Above 178 T tokens	11%	—	$416	$386
Above 180 T tokens	10%	—	$108	$108
Above 188 T tokens	8%	—	$248	$248
Above 184 T tokens	7%	—	$511	$511
Above 186 T tokens	6%	—	$769	$653