Number of tornadoes in Oct 2026?
50/50 line1%Above 75
Line nearest 50/50
1%
Market median
62.563
Biggest 24h move+4 pts
100%
24h volume
$5K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noWhat the market expects
median 62.563Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · dailyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above 50YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 50 | NO | 95¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
11| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 50 | 100% | +4.0 | $4K | $6K |
| Above 25 | 100% | — | $152 | $2K |
| Above 75 | 1% | — | $690 | $2K |
| Above 100 | 0% | — | $45 | $600 |
| Above 125 | 0% | — | $0 | $98 |
| Above 150 | 0% | — | $0 | $129 |
| Above 175 | 0% | — | $0 | $150 |
| Above 200 | 0% | — | $0 | $107 |
| Above 225 | 0% | — | $0 | $94 |
| Above 250 | 0% | — | $0 | $55 |
| Above 275 | 0% | — | $0 | $57 |
Same series
- Number of tornadoes in Nov 2026?≈ Above 25 81% · settles 2026-12-01