Will there be more than 50 tornadoes in October?

Settles Nov 01, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Number of tornadoes in Oct 2026?

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chance of YES100% +11.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
4–99%
· 7d +519 pts
24h volume
4.2K
$1 contracts
Open interest
6.4K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$1K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 25100%152

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO95¢ 1,164$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.