Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?

8 outcomesSettles Dec 02, 2026 (31d)

50/50 line36%Above 10

Line nearest 50/50

36%

Above 10

Market median

even odds of landing above or below

Biggest 24h move

—

odds steady over the last day

24h volume

$232

$20K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no

Above 10 36% +1

Above 12 4% -4

Above 14 4%

Above 16 3%

Above 18 0%

Above 20 0%

Above 25 0%

Above 30 0%

median 10

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

Outcome	Odds	24h change	24h volume	Open interest
Above 10	36%	+1.0	$165	$8K
Above 12	4%	-4.0	$67	$2K
Above 14	4%	—	$0	$3K
Above 16	3%	—	$0	$3K
Above 18	0%	—	$0	$2K
Above 20	0%	—	$0	$227
Above 25	0%	—	$0	$170
Above 30	0%	—	$0	$498