What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Climate and Weather

Above 16

Closes Dec 02, 2026 (168d) 24h volume 28 Open interest 2.8K Event Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?

30%

implied YES probability

+6.0pp 24h

Last 45 days · High 79% · Low 7% · 7d -20.6pp · 30d -15.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.