What will Trump say during 60 Minutes?
50/50 line10%Impeach / Impeachment
Line nearest 50/50
10%
Runner-up
0%
Biggest 24h move-81 pts
0%
24h volume
$1.3M
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noImpeach / Impeachment
10%
-66
Fraud
0%
-49
Midterm
0%
-74
Biden
0%
-67
Inflation
0%
-81
Communist / Communism
0%
-33
Iran (3+ times)
0%
-75
Odds over time
hourlyHourly closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Impeach / ImpeachmentYES $0 · NO $28K · 13 orders · biggest $5K
- Iran (3+ times)YES $0 · NO $19K · 7 orders · biggest $6K
- VenezuelaYES $5K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $3K
- Crypto / BitcoinYES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- TariffYES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityYES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran (3+ times) | NO | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Iran (3+ times) | NO | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Impeach / Impeachment | NO | 91¢ | $2K | |
| Impeach / Impeachment | NO | 88¢ | $2K | |
| Impeach / Impeachment | NO | 90¢ | $1K | |
| Impeach / Impeachment | NO | 88¢ | $2K | |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | NO | 99¢ | $1K | |
| Impeach / Impeachment | NO | 94¢ | $4K | |
| Impeach / Impeachment | NO | 92¢ | $5K | |
| Impeach / Impeachment | NO | 90¢ | $2K |
All outcomes
8| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impeach / Impeachment | 10% | -66.0 | $276K | $156K |
| Fraud | 0% | -49.0 | $39K | $40K |
| Midterm | 0% | -74.0 | $149K | $140K |
| Biden | 0% | -67.0 | $217K | $214K |
| Inflation | 0% | -81.0 | $38K | $39K |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 0% | -65.0 | $174K | $173K |
| Communist / Communism | 0% | -33.0 | $50K | $51K |
| Iran (3+ times) | 0% | -75.0 | $396K | $329K |