What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 10%, implying a 10% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 22, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 22, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: What will Trump say during 60 Minutes?

chance of YES10% -66.0pp in 24h

Price range (3d)

2–85%

24h volume

276.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

156.0K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$28K

0% on YES

hourly, 3d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Fraud0%39.2K

Midterm0%149.3K

Biden0%216.7K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 9, 7:50 AM ET	NO	91¢	1,696	$2K
Nov 9, 3:47 AM ET	NO	88¢	2,091	$2K
Nov 9, 2:45 AM ET	NO	90¢	1,344	$1K
Nov 9, 2:44 AM ET	NO	88¢	2,350	$2K
Nov 9, 12:43 AM ET	NO	94¢	4,056	$4K
Nov 9, 12:31 AM ET	NO	92¢	5,164	$5K
Nov 8, 11:56 PM ET	NO	90¢	2,104	$2K
Nov 8, 11:44 PM ET	NO	84¢	1,579	$1K
Nov 8, 11:41 PM ET	NO	82¢	1,406	$1K
Nov 8, 11:41 PM ET	NO	79¢	3,971	$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.