K KalshiMarkets & Companies

Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027

4 outcomesSettles Jul 31, 2027 (280d)

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line44%Above 450,000
Line nearest 50/50
44%
Above 450,000
Market median
417391
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move-5 pts
44%
Above 450,000
24h volume
$1K
$7K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Above 400,000 74% -6
Above 450,000 44% -5
Above 425,000 40%
Above 475,000 33% -14

What the market expects

median 417391

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

All outcomes

4
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above 400,000 74% -6.0 $351 $2K
Above 450,000 44% -5.0 $613 $1K
Above 425,000 40% — $17 $1K
Above 475,000 33% -14.0 $400 $3K

Same series