P PolymarketWeather & Climate

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

3 outcomesSettles Dec 01, 2026 (30d)

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Theme
Preview
Favorite96%1-3
Favorite
96%
1-3
Runner-up
2%
4-6
Biggest 24h move
—
odds steady over the last day
24h volume
$525
$31K open interest

Current odds

one winner
1-3 96%
4-6 2% -1
7+ 0%

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

3
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
1-3 96% — $175 $10K
4-6 2% -1.1 $175 $10K
7+ 0% — $175 $10K

How it settles

This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.

Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.