P PolymarketWeather & Climate

Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

Settles Dec 01, 2026 (30d) All outcomes: How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

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Preview
chance of YES96%
Price range (120d)
24–98%
30d +179 pts · 7d -2 pts
24h volume
$175
USDC traded
Open interest
$10.5K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

Open on Polymarket

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

4-62%$175
7+0%$175

How it settles

This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.