Natural Disaster in 2026?
Favorite26%Yes
Favorite
26%
Runner-up
—
Biggest 24h move
—
24h volume
$152
Current odds
one winnerNatural Disaster in 2026?
26%
+4
Odds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
All outcomes
1| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural Disaster in 2026? | 26% | +3.5 | $152 | $24K |
How it settles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET: - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.