P PolymarketWeather & Climate

Natural Disaster in 2026?

1 outcomeSettles Mar 01, 2027 (120d)

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Theme
Preview
Favorite26%Yes
Favorite
26%
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Runner-up
—
single-outcome market
Biggest 24h move
—
odds steady over the last day
24h volume
$152
$24K open interest

Current odds

one winner

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

1
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Natural Disaster in 2026? 26% +3.5 $152 $24K

How it settles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET: - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf

Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.