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Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

1 outcomeSettles Jan 01, 2027 (61d)

Favorite2%Yes

Favorite

2%

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Runner-up

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single-outcome market

Biggest 24h move-4 pts

2%

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

24h volume

$30K

$66K open interest

Current odds

one winner

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? 2% -4

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

1

Outcome	Odds	24h change	24h volume	Open interest
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	2%	-3.5	$30K	$66K

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.