K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the Democratic party win the governorship in California

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: California Governor winner? Polls & election odds

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chance of YES98% +0.9pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
94–97%
30d +1 pts · 7d +1 pts
24h volume
19.5K
$1 contracts
Open interest
388.3K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
97¢ / 97¢
spread 0.2¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
96.8¢ 1,163 97.0¢ 4,477
96.7¢ 2,003 97.1¢ 676
96.5¢ 1,000 97.2¢ 50
96.3¢ 1,312 97.3¢ 49
96.1¢ 22,000 97.4¢ 651

Mid 96.9¢ · spread 0.2¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Steve Hilton3%365.1K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES98¢ 4,714$5K
YES98¢ 3,071$3K
YES97¢ 1,538$1K
YES97¢ 1,631$2K
YES97¢ 2,059$2K
YES97¢ 1,494$1K
YES97¢ 1,710$2K
YES97¢ 7,905$8K
YES96¢ 6,769$7K
YES97¢ 3,547$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.