What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 91%, implying a 91% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Democratic party

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (504d) 24h volume 812 Open interest 131.6K Event California Governor winner? (Party)

91%

implied YES probability

Last 91 days · High 95% · Low 83% · 7d +0.2pp · 30d +3.4pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.