What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 3%, implying a 3% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: California Governor winner? Polls & election odds

chance of YES3% -0.7pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

3–6%

30d -31 pts · 7d -24 pts

24h volume

365.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.9M

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

3¢ / 3¢

spread 0.3¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 2.8¢ · spread 0.3¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 31, 7:38 AM ET	YES	3¢	45,255	$1K
Oct 31, 1:07 AM ET	NO	98¢	2,591	$3K
Oct 30, 10:04 PM ET	NO	98¢	2,043	$2K
Oct 30, 8:31 PM ET	NO	97¢	2,000	$2K
Oct 30, 6:27 PM ET	YES	3¢	46,168	$1K
Oct 30, 4:22 PM ET	NO	97¢	21,715	$21K
Oct 30, 11:01 AM ET	YES	3¢	39,288	$1K
Oct 30, 10:10 AM ET	NO	97¢	3,781	$4K
Oct 29, 3:51 PM ET	NO	97¢	1,397	$1K
Oct 29, 1:10 PM ET	NO	97¢	1,544	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.