What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 74%, implying a 74% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: Nevada Governor winner? Polls & election odds

chance of YES74% -3.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

32–78%

30d +57 pts · 7d +14 pts

24h volume

644.8K

$1 contracts

Open interest

970.1K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

74¢ / 75¢

spread 1.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 74.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 31, 1:13 AM ET	YES	74¢	3,000	$2K
Oct 30, 10:34 PM ET	NO	27¢	21,000	$6K
Oct 30, 10:19 PM ET	NO	27¢	10,089	$3K
Oct 30, 9:46 PM ET	NO	26¢	8,695	$2K
Oct 30, 8:38 PM ET	NO	26¢	40,120	$10K
Oct 30, 8:00 PM ET	YES	75¢	2,620	$2K
Oct 30, 7:45 PM ET	NO	26¢	247,500	$64K
Oct 30, 7:15 PM ET	YES	75¢	4,367	$3K
Oct 30, 6:31 PM ET	NO	26¢	20,000	$5K
Oct 30, 5:33 PM ET	NO	25¢	6,773	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.