Will the Republican party win the governorship in Nevada

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: Nevada Governor winner? Polls & election odds

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chance of YES24% +1.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
23–65%
30d -50 pts · 7d -21 pts
24h volume
198.4K
$1 contracts
Open interest
992.2K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
24¢ / 25¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
24.0¢ 48,027 25.0¢ 19,176
23.0¢ 23,143 26.0¢ 26,356
22.0¢ 1,534 27.0¢ 22,132
21.0¢ 1,963 28.0¢ 746
20.0¢ 1,061 29.0¢ 573

Mid 24.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Aaron Ford74%644.8K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO76¢ 2,500$2K
NO75¢ 5,557$4K
NO75¢ 20,000$15K
YES27¢ 10,803$3K
YES27¢ 19,872$5K
YES27¢ 17,425$5K
YES26¢ 12,222$3K
YES26¢ 7,681$2K
YES26¢ 8,921$2K
YES25¢ 5,308$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.