What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 56%, implying a 56% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: PA-01 House winner? Polls & election odds

chance of YES56% +2.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

35–62%

30d +51 pts · 7d +40 pts

24h volume

6.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

229.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

43¢ / 44¢

spread 1.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 43.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 1:31 PM ET	YES	53¢	2,000	$1K
Oct 30, 9:28 AM ET	YES	53¢	2,740	$1K
Oct 29, 7:43 AM ET	YES	43¢	3,118	$1K
Oct 26, 1:09 PM ET	YES	45¢	5,000	$2K
Oct 25, 7:59 AM ET	YES	41¢	20,896	$9K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.