What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Bob Harvie

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (481d) 24h volume 298 Open interest 4.1K Event PA-01 House winner?

40%

implied YES probability

-7.0pp 24h

Last 27 days · High 55% · Low 42% · 7d -16.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.