Will Republican win the House race for PA-1?

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: PA-01 House winner? Polls & election odds

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Preview
chance of YES44% -3.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
37–66%
30d -29 pts · 7d -26 pts
24h volume
1.1K
$1 contracts
Open interest
88.4K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
64¢ / 65¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
64.0¢ 52,025 65.0¢ 303
63.0¢ 10,793 66.0¢ 2,700
62.0¢ 5,000 67.0¢ 13,020
61.0¢ 23 68.0¢ 2,000
60.0¢ 67 69.0¢ 82

Mid 64.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Bob Harvie56%6.2K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO55¢ 7,063$4K
NO49¢ 3,375$2K
NO44¢ 3,280$1K
NO40¢ 3,500$1K
YES62¢ 2,213$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.