What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 02, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?

chance of YES50%

Price range (120d)

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24h volume

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$1 contracts

Open interest

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contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

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none recorded

daily, 120 days

Not enough trading history to chart yet.

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.