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How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?

40 outcomesSettles Nov 30, 2026 (19d)

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line23%4.83% or below
Line nearest 50/50
23%
4.83% or below
Runner-up
50%
5.03% or below
Biggest 24h move-28 pts
22%
4.81% or below
24h volume
$3K
$7K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
5.04% or below 50%
5.03% or below 50%
5.02% or below 50%
5.01% or below 50%
5% or below 50%
4.99% or below 50%
4.98% or below 50%
4.97% or below 50%
4.96% or below 50%
4.95% or below 50%
4.94% or below 50%
4.93% or below 50%
4.92% or below 50%
4.91% or below 50%

+ 26 more in the table below.

All outcomes

40
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
5.04% or below 50% — $0 $0
5.03% or below 50% — $0 $119
5.02% or below 50% — $0 $0
5.01% or below 50% — $0 $0
5% or below 50% — $0 $0
4.99% or below 50% — $0 $0
4.98% or below 50% — $0 $0
4.97% or below 50% — $0 $0
4.96% or below 50% — $0 $0
4.95% or below 50% — $0 $0
4.94% or below 50% — $0 $2
4.93% or below 50% — $0 $0
4.92% or below 50% — $0 $0
4.91% or below 50% — $0 $0
4.9% or below 50% — $0 $0
4.89% or below 50% — $0 $1
4.88% or below 50% — $0 $201
4.87% or below 50% — $0 $220
4.86% or below 50% — $0 $500
4.85% or below 50% — $0 $200
4.84% or below 50% — $0 $200
4.83% or below 23% -58.0 $128 $601
4.82% or below 23% -55.0 $42 $0
4.81% or below 22% -28.5 $560 $645
4.8% or below 19% — $0 $100
4.78% or below 18% -27.0 $275 $330
4.79% or below 17% — $0 $305
4.77% or below 15% — $0 $191
4.75% or below 14% -29.0 $175 $391
4.76% or below 13% -22.0 $100 $100
4.74% or below 10% — $0 $0
4.73% or below 9% — $0 $0
4.72% or below 8% -28.0 $609 $852
4.71% or below 7% — $0 $0
4.7% or below 6% -47.0 $10 $100
4.69% or below 6% -23.0 $230 $351
4.66% or below 6% -19.5 $847 $951
4.68% or below 5% — $0 $0
4.67% or below 5% — $0 $100
4.65% or below 4% -7.0 $25 $129