What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 13%, implying a 13% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 30, 2026 (19d) All outcomes: How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?

chance of YES13% -22.0pp in 24h

Price range (7d)

12–34%

24h volume

100

$1 contracts

Open interest

100

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 7d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.