What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 29, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 7.29%

Settles Oct 29, 2026 (5d) All outcomes: 30-year mortgage rate this week

chance of YES40% +4.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

42–42%

24h volume

167

$1 contracts

Open interest

967

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Not enough trading history to chart yet.

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.