30-year mortgage rate this week
50/50 line45%Above 7.28%
Line nearest 50/50
45%
Market median
7.275%
Biggest 24h move+38 pts
68%
24h volume
$8K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 7.22%
91%
+19
Above 7.23%
86%
+4
Above 7.24%
79%
+45
Above 7.25%
68%
+38
Above 7.26%
67%
-2
Above 7.27%
56%
+30
Above 7.28%
45%
-4
Above 7.29%
40%
+2
Above 7.30%
29%
+6
Above 7.31%
22%
+14
Above 7.32%
14%
+3
Above 7.33%
14%
-12
Above 7.34%
10%
Above 7.35%
6%
+ 2 more in the table below.
What the market expects
median 7.275%Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · hourlyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above 7.41%YES $0 · NO $5K · 1 orders · biggest $5K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 7.41% | NO | 99¢ | $5K |
All outcomes
16| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 7.22% | 91% | +19.0 | $117 | $1K |
| Above 7.23% | 86% | +4.0 | $201 | $201 |
| Above 7.24% | 79% | +45.0 | $24 | $929 |
| Above 7.25% | 68% | +38.0 | $608 | $512 |
| Above 7.26% | 67% | -2.0 | $226 | $1K |
| Above 7.27% | 56% | +30.0 | $336 | $452 |
| Above 7.28% | 45% | -4.0 | $257 | $500 |
| Above 7.29% | 40% | +2.0 | $167 | $967 |
| Above 7.30% | 29% | +6.0 | $32 | $453 |
| Above 7.31% | 22% | +13.5 | $200 | $373 |
| Above 7.32% | 14% | +3.0 | $294 | $508 |
| Above 7.33% | 14% | -12.0 | $200 | $440 |
| Above 7.34% | 10% | — | $202 | $202 |
| Above 7.35% | 6% | — | $261 | $261 |
| Above 7.36% | 4% | -1.0 | $104 | $105 |
| Above 7.41% | 0% | — | $5K | $5K |