What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 14%, implying a 14% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 29, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 7.33%

Settles Oct 29, 2026 (5d) All outcomes: 30-year mortgage rate this week

chance of YES14% -12.0pp in 24h

Price range (3h)

4–16%

24h volume

200

$1 contracts

Open interest

440

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 3h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.