What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 24%, implying a 24% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 30, 2026 (25d) All outcomes: Gas prices in the US in Nov 2026? Gas prices

chance of YES24% -34.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

59–83%

24h volume

6.0K

$1 contracts

Open interest

13.3K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$12K

54% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 4, 1:17 PM ET	NO	70¢	2,150	$2K
Nov 3, 9:34 PM ET	NO	40¢	4,027	$2K
Nov 3, 10:18 AM ET	YES	54¢	4,027	$2K
Nov 3, 8:38 AM ET	NO	38¢	6,510	$2K
Nov 3, 5:29 AM ET	YES	64¢	2,004	$1K
Oct 31, 10:40 AM ET	YES	56¢	2,035	$1K
Oct 31, 10:40 AM ET	YES	53¢	2,057	$1K
Oct 31, 10:40 AM ET	YES	50¢	2,011	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.