What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 76%, implying a 76% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 15, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 15, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: Dream Fatigue: First Week Streams

chance of YES76% +1.0pp in 24h

Price range (1h)

98–99%

24h volume

657

$1 contracts

Open interest

677

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 1h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.