Dream Fatigue: First Week Streams

13 outcomesSettles Nov 15, 2026 (2d)

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Preview
50/50 line76%Above 4M
Line nearest 50/50
76%
Above 4M
Market median
4.952M
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move+14 pts
8%
Above 10M
24h volume
$3K
$7K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Above 4M 76% +1
Above 14M 12% +7
Above 6M 10% +18
Above 10M 8% +14
Above 12M 8% +22
Above 8M 7% +10

What the market expects

median 4.952M

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

All outcomes

13
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above 1M 95% — $0 $48
Above 4M 76% +1.0 $657 $677
Above 3M 60% — $0 $62
Above 2M 60% — $0 $48
Above 5M 50% — $0 $101
Above 16M 50% — $0 $555
Above 18M 50% — $0 $559
Above 20M 50% — $0 $271
Above 14M 12% +7.0 $200 $1K
Above 6M 10% +18.0 $107 $463
Above 10M 8% +14.0 $830 $1K
Above 12M 8% +22.0 $201 $963
Above 8M 7% +10.0 $663 $1K

Same series