Carnaval De Luz: First Week Streams

13 outcomesSettles Nov 22, 2026 (9d)

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50/50 line44%Above 12M
Line nearest 50/50
44%
Above 12M
Market median
8M
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move
—
odds steady over the last day
24h volume
$245
$3K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no

What the market expects

median 8M

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

All outcomes

13
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above 1M 99% — $0 $26
Above 2M 97% — $0 $0
Above 3M 94% — $0 $0
Above 4M 86% — $0 $0
Above 5M 70% — $0 $200
Above 6M 52% +42.0 $0 $425
Above 8M 50% — $0 $400
Above 10M 50% — $0 $140
Above 12M 44% +34.5 $245 $372
Above 14M 18% — $0 $520
Above 16M 14% — $0 $325
Above 18M 10% — $0 $525
Above 20M 6% — $0 $300

Same series