What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Dec 12, 2026 (42d) All outcomes: When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?

chance of YES98%

Price range (120d)

92–99%

· 7d +7 pts

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

11.8K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$13K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 28, 7:52 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,333	$1K
Oct 28, 7:24 PM ET	YES	97¢	2,666	$3K
Oct 20, 4:34 PM ET	YES	99¢	1,161	$1K
Oct 20, 3:34 PM ET	YES	98¢	1,743	$2K
Oct 20, 3:34 PM ET	YES	96¢	4,217	$4K
Oct 19, 12:40 AM ET	YES	95¢	2,016	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.