What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Dec 19, 2026 (49d) All outcomes: When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?

chance of YES98% -1.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

91–99%

· 7d +8 pts

24h volume

4.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

6.1K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$12K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 28, 7:23 PM ET	YES	99¢	2,500	$2K
Oct 28, 6:23 PM ET	YES	99¢	2,000	$2K
Oct 28, 6:23 PM ET	YES	97¢	7,309	$7K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.