What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 19, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Watanuki vs Imamura

chance of YES0%

Price range (12h)

2–17%

24h volume

311.8K

$1 contracts

Open interest

203.9K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$52K

0% on YES

hourly, 12h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 5, 2:09 AM ET	NO	99¢	4,909	$5K
Nov 5, 2:08 AM ET	NO	99¢	3,146	$3K
Nov 5, 2:08 AM ET	NO	99¢	3,524	$3K
Nov 5, 2:08 AM ET	NO	99¢	2,532	$3K
Nov 5, 1:58 AM ET	NO	99¢	4,052	$4K
Nov 5, 1:51 AM ET	NO	98¢	2,986	$3K
Nov 5, 1:51 AM ET	NO	98¢	2,000	$2K
Nov 5, 1:38 AM ET	NO	96¢	1,301	$1K
Nov 5, 1:31 AM ET	NO	93¢	7,395	$7K
Nov 5, 1:31 AM ET	NO	93¢	22,455	$21K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.