What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 19, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Watanuki vs Imamura

chance of YES100%

Price range (13h)

83–99%

24h volume

135.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

100.7K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$91K

100% on YES

hourly, 13h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 5, 2:08 AM ET	YES	99¢	12,150	$12K
Nov 5, 2:08 AM ET	YES	99¢	1,895	$2K
Nov 5, 2:08 AM ET	YES	99¢	3,138	$3K
Nov 5, 2:08 AM ET	YES	99¢	6,277	$6K
Nov 5, 1:52 AM ET	YES	99¢	9,436	$9K
Nov 5, 1:51 AM ET	YES	98¢	1,044	$1K
Nov 5, 1:49 AM ET	YES	98¢	10,189	$10K
Nov 5, 1:49 AM ET	YES	96¢	1,127	$1K
Nov 5, 1:45 AM ET	YES	97¢	5,127	$5K
Nov 5, 1:40 AM ET	YES	96¢	2,900	$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.