What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiCrypto

Settles Nov 05, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: BTC price on Nov 5, 2026 at 5pm EST? Live crypto prices

chance of YES6%

Price range (4h)

7–9%

24h volume

208

$1 contracts

Open interest

208

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 4h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.