BTC price on Nov 5, 2026 at 5pm EST?
50/50 line52%$80,500 or above
Line nearest 50/50
52%
Runner-up
98%
Biggest 24h move
—
24h volume
$181K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/no$77,250 or above
98%
$77,500 or above
98%
$76,500 or above
98%
$77,750 or above
98%
$78,000 or above
96%
$78,250 or above
96%
$78,500 or above
94%
$78,750 or above
92%
$79,000 or above
88%
$79,250 or above
84%
$79,500 or above
80%
$79,750 or above
74%
$80,000 or above
66%
$80,250 or above
60%
+ 19 more in the table below.
Odds over time
hourlyHourly closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- $82,500 or aboveYES $0 · NO $6K · 1 orders · biggest $6K
- $81,000 or aboveYES $1K · NO $1K · 2 orders · biggest $1K
- $82,000 or aboveYES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- $84,000 or aboveYES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- $80,500 or aboveYES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- $81,250 or aboveYES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- $80,000 or aboveYES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $80,500 or above | YES | 51¢ | $1K | |
| $82,500 or above | NO | 90¢ | $6K | |
| $82,000 or above | NO | 89¢ | $2K | |
| $84,000 or above | NO | 99¢ | $2K | |
| $81,250 or above | NO | 70¢ | $1K | |
| $81,000 or above | NO | 60¢ | $1K | |
| $81,000 or above | YES | 45¢ | $1K | |
| $80,000 or above | NO | 38¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
33| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $77,250 or above | 98% | — | $473 | $473 |
| $77,500 or above | 98% | — | $3K | $3K |
| $76,500 or above | 98% | — | $280 | $280 |
| $77,750 or above | 98% | — | $2K | $2K |
| $78,000 or above | 96% | — | $6K | $6K |
| $78,250 or above | 96% | — | $9K | $9K |
| $78,500 or above | 94% | — | $2K | $2K |
| $78,750 or above | 92% | — | $5K | $4K |
| $79,000 or above | 88% | — | $4K | $3K |
| $79,250 or above | 84% | — | $2K | $1K |
| $79,500 or above | 80% | — | $8K | $4K |
| $79,750 or above | 74% | — | $2K | $2K |
| $80,000 or above | 66% | — | $25K | $15K |
| $80,250 or above | 60% | — | $9K | $4K |
| $80,500 or above | 52% | — | $19K | $7K |
| $80,750 or above | 44% | — | $10K | $4K |
| $81,000 or above | 36% | — | $13K | $6K |
| $81,250 or above | 28% | — | $8K | $5K |
| $81,500 or above | 22% | — | $2K | $1K |
| $81,750 or above | 18% | — | $8K | $7K |
| $82,000 or above | 14% | — | $11K | $7K |
| $82,250 or above | 12% | — | $3K | $3K |
| $82,500 or above | 8% | — | $16K | $3K |
| $82,750 or above | 6% | — | $208 | $208 |
| $83,000 or above | 4% | — | $5K | $5K |
| $84,750 or above | 4% | — | $46 | $46 |
| $83,750 or above | 3% | — | $1K | $1K |
| $84,250 or above | 3% | — | $242 | $242 |
| $85,500 or above | 3% | — | $152 | $152 |
| $83,250 or above | 2% | — | $1K | $1K |
| $84,000 or above | 2% | — | $4K | $1K |
| $84,500 or above | 2% | — | $54 | $54 |
| $83,500 or above | 2% | — | $3K | $3K |
Same series
- BTC price on Nov 6, 2026 at 5pm EST?≈ $80,500 or above 52% · settles 2026-11-06
- BTC price on Nov 4, 2026 at 10pm EST?≈ $80,500 or above 60% · settles 2026-11-05