What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiCrypto

Settles Nov 05, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: BTC price on Nov 5, 2026 at 5pm EST? Live crypto prices

chance of YES4%

Price range (120d)

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24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

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none recorded

daily, 120 days

Not enough trading history to chart yet.

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.