K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.5% for the year ending in December 2026?

Settles Jan 13, 2027 (74d) All outcomes: Core CPI YoY in December Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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chance of YES92% -3.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
64–98%
· 7d -1 pts
24h volume
3.6K
$1 contracts
Open interest
9.2K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$3K
100% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 2.4%98%1
Above 2.3%98%1
Above 2.7%79%2
Above 2.9%44%54
Above 3.1%16%100

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES91¢ 1,111$1K
YES91¢ 2,039$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.