What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 02, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: DeepSeek market share this week

chance of YES100% +1.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

47–99%

24h volume

3.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

5.1K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$4K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Above 26.7%100%3.1K

Above 27.8%100%6.4K

Above 25.8%100%1.0K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 9:34 AM ET	YES	99¢	3,262	$3K
Oct 29, 9:36 PM ET	YES	97¢	1,051	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.