What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 87%, implying a 87% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 02, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: DeepSeek market share this week

chance of YES87% +9.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

74–93%

24h volume

568

$1 contracts

Open interest

871

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Above 27.0%100%3.3K

Above 26.7%100%3.1K

Above 27.8%100%6.4K

Above 25.8%100%1.0K