Diesel prices in Oct 2026
50/50 line53%Above $6.40
Line nearest 50/50
53%
Market median
6.407
Biggest 24h move+60 pts
94%
24h volume
$14K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove $6.00
99%
+6
Above $5.90
98%
Above $5.80
98%
+8
Above $6.20
96%
+22
Above $6.30
94%
+60
Above $6.40
53%
+23
Above $6.50
8%
+1
Above $7.50
2%
+1
Above $7.30
2%
-2
Above $6.60
2%
-4
What the market expects
median 6.407Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · dailyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above $6.50YES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- Above $6.70YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $6.50 | NO | 93¢ | $2K | |
| Above $6.70 | NO | 99¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
10| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $6.00 | 99% | +6.0 | $10 | $4K |
| Above $5.90 | 98% | +0.5 | $67 | $3K |
| Above $5.80 | 98% | +8.0 | $29 | $3K |
| Above $6.20 | 96% | +22.5 | $932 | $3K |
| Above $6.30 | 94% | +60.5 | $3K | $10K |
| Above $6.40 | 53% | +23.0 | $4K | $5K |
| Above $6.50 | 8% | +1.0 | $4K | $3K |
| Above $7.50 | 2% | +1.0 | $64 | $13K |
| Above $7.30 | 2% | -2.5 | $970 | $3K |
| Above $6.60 | 2% | -3.5 | $1K | $6K |