What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 45%, implying a 45% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 15, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Feb 15, 2027 (100d) All outcomes: What will Disney say during their next earnings call?

chance of YES45% +3.0pp in 24h

Price range (5d)

46–49%

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 5d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.