K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2027 meeting?

Settles Jul 28, 2027 (270d) All outcomes: Fed decision in Jul 2027? Fed Watch — futures-implied odds

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chance of YES76% +6.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
72–82%
30d -2 pts · 7d -1 pts
24h volume
63
$1 contracts
Open interest
60.4K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
75¢ / 77¢
spread 2.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
75.0¢ 0 77.0¢ 5
74.0¢ 9 78.0¢ 100
73.0¢ 61 79.0¢ 28
72.0¢ 69 80.0¢ 500
71.0¢ 2,104 86.0¢ 88

Mid 76.0¢ · spread 2.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Hike 25bps20%9
Cut 25bps6%8
Cut >25bps2%8
Hike >25bps2%8

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES75¢ 5,000$4K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.

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