K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2027 meeting?

Settles Jul 28, 2027 (270d) All outcomes: Fed decision in Jul 2027? Fed Watch — futures-implied odds

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chance of YES20% -2.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
3–28%
· 7d +67 pts
24h volume
9
$1 contracts
Open interest
13.3K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$2K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Fed maintains rate76%63
Cut 25bps6%8
Cut >25bps2%8
Hike >25bps2%8

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO81¢ 3,011$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.

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