What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Mar 17, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Hike 25bps

Closes Mar 17, 2027 (273d) 24h volume 20 Open interest 92 Event Fed decision in Mar 2027?

implied YES probability

+5.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 8% · Low 3%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.