K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their October 2027 meeting?

Settles Oct 27, 2027 (361d) All outcomes: Fed decision in Oct 2027? Fed Watch — futures-implied odds

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chance of YES4% +1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
4–47%
· 7d -56 pts
24h volume
2
$1 contracts
Open interest
18.3K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
7¢ / 9¢
spread 2.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
7.0¢ 13 9.0¢ 3,801
6.0¢ 17 13.0¢ 539
5.0¢ 16 14.0¢ 5,555
4.0¢ 306 22.0¢ 273
3.0¢ 541 23.0¢ 500

Mid 8.0¢ · spread 2.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Fed maintains rate94%65
Hike 25bps2%2

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO96¢ 1,327$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.

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