What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 14, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 14, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Highest temperature in New York City on Nov 13, 2026?

chance of YES1%

Price range (21h)

1–3%

24h volume

31.0K

$1 contracts

Open interest

19.1K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$8K

0% on YES

hourly, 21h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

52° to 53°68%110.6K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 13, 3:43 AM ET	NO	99¢	1,842	$2K
Nov 13, 3:38 AM ET	NO	99¢	2,000	$2K
Nov 13, 3:37 AM ET	NO	99¢	2,000	$2K
Nov 13, 3:29 AM ET	NO	99¢	2,000	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.