What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 14, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 14, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Highest temperature in San Francisco on Nov 13, 2026?

chance of YES28%

Price range (21h)

19–39%

24h volume

2.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

1.9K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 21h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.