What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 36%, implying a 36% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: NC-03 House winner? Polls & election odds

chance of YES36% -7.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

13–42%

· 7d +34 pts

24h volume

91.8K

$1 contracts

Open interest

347.6K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

36¢ / 37¢

spread 1.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 36.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 31, 6:02 AM ET	YES	44¢	17,833	$8K
Oct 30, 10:50 PM ET	NO	60¢	60,281	$36K
Oct 30, 5:24 PM ET	NO	58¢	2,580	$1K
Oct 30, 6:12 AM ET	YES	41¢	39,779	$16K
Oct 30, 5:35 AM ET	NO	60¢	16,212	$10K
Oct 29, 7:12 PM ET	NO	59¢	5,000	$3K
Oct 29, 1:02 PM ET	NO	60¢	2,000	$1K
Oct 29, 8:12 AM ET	YES	39¢	35,175	$14K
Oct 29, 7:40 AM ET	NO	63¢	54,274	$34K
Oct 28, 11:39 AM ET	NO	63¢	5,000	$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.