What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 56%, implying a 56% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: NC-03 House winner? Polls & election odds

chance of YES56% -1.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

59–89%

· 7d -13 pts

24h volume

23.6K

$1 contracts

Open interest

272.0K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

55¢ / 56¢

spread 1.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 55.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 31, 2:13 AM ET	NO	42¢	13,652	$6K
Oct 30, 11:59 PM ET	YES	61¢	3,179	$2K
Oct 30, 6:12 AM ET	NO	42¢	9,260	$4K
Oct 30, 5:36 AM ET	YES	61¢	15,960	$10K
Oct 30, 2:21 AM ET	NO	41¢	5,000	$2K
Oct 29, 6:41 PM ET	NO	42¢	9,166	$4K
Oct 29, 10:45 AM ET	YES	60¢	3,225	$2K
Oct 29, 10:12 AM ET	YES	59¢	1,881	$1K
Oct 29, 8:36 AM ET	YES	60¢	2,890	$2K
Oct 29, 8:17 AM ET	NO	42¢	10,919	$5K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.