What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 36%, implying a 36% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: NC-09 House winner? Polls & election odds

chance of YES36% +4.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

15–33%

30d +32 pts · 7d +43 pts

24h volume

18.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

218.8K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

31¢ / 32¢

spread 1.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 31.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 31, 2:26 AM ET	YES	32¢	15,338	$5K
Oct 29, 8:34 PM ET	YES	31¢	4,231	$1K
Oct 29, 8:34 AM ET	YES	32¢	10,464	$3K
Oct 28, 11:38 AM ET	NO	69¢	56,219	$39K
Oct 28, 6:52 AM ET	YES	29¢	41,330	$12K
Oct 26, 11:07 PM ET	NO	71¢	11,651	$8K
Oct 26, 10:46 PM ET	YES	33¢	8,889	$3K
Oct 25, 6:04 AM ET	YES	29¢	4,944	$1K
Oct 22, 9:07 PM ET	NO	77¢	5,000	$4K
Oct 22, 6:39 PM ET	NO	76¢	25,228	$19K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.